Despite structural weak steel demand in Europe, imports continue to gain market share. Apparent consumption of flat steel products fell to around 76m tonnes in 2024, well below the 91m tonnes in 2018. At the same time, import penetration continues to rise. Imports of hot-rolled coil - a key benchmark steel product - now account for more than 40% of the EU market.
The new trade measure currently under negotiation introduces a tariff-rate quota (TRQ) system, allowing controlled volumes of steel imports to enter the EU tariff-free while preventing market disruption caused by global steel overcapacity. The OECD estimates global excess steelmaking capacity at around 650m tonnes, posing one of the most serious threats to the viability of European steel production.
EUROFER says the Commission’s proposal is carefully balanced, keeping the EU market open while ensuring European production, jobs and industrial capacity remain viable. Axel Eggert, Director General of EUROFER, said: “Global steel overcapacity is an existential threat to European steelmaking. The European Commission’s proposal is both balanced and effective. It must be adopted without delay and without being weakened.”
A key element of the proposal is the non-carry-over rule, which prevents unused quarterly import quotas from being rolled over into later periods. This condition is critical for the effectiveness of the proposed measure because allowing carry-overs would encourage speculative import behaviour leading to sudden surges of imports that destabilise the European market - a problem already experienced under the current EU steel safeguard system.
The proposal under negotiation also includes a review mechanism, allowing the European Commission to adjust quota levels if evidence proves changes are needed. This mechanism is in the interest of all market operators.
EUROFER therefore calls on the European Parliament and the Council, currently negotiating the proposal, to adopt the measure in its current form and avoid weakening its key provisions.
It is essential that the new system enters into force before the current EU steel safeguard expires at the end of June 2026.
Brussels, 16 March 2026 According to the latest economic report from the European Steel Association (EUROFER), Europe’s steel market is estimated to have shown signs of growth. However, it also highlights how the sector’s outlook is clouded by imports having gained a record share of the EU market, falling European production, volatile energy prices and rising trade tensions.
First quarter 2026 report. Data up to, and including, third quarter 2025
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